Aimsun’s contributions: data-driven and simulation-based solutions
In SYNCHROMODE, Aimsun is primarily leading the simulation-based demand-supply interaction modelling task and plays a major role estimating and predicting traffic demand using data-driven approaches.
The team is working on improving the efficiency and accuracy of methods for offline estimation of the traffic demand. The process of estimating Origin-Destination (OD) traffic demand using simulation-based optimization is complex and can be computationally intensive for large-scale models. In SYNCHROMODE we propose novel methods for demand estimation, that combine Machine-Learning techniques and optimization approaches and do not rely on traffic simulations. Aimsun’s research uses neural networks to emulate traffic simulation, enabling analytical gradient calculations and backpropagation to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the estimated demand.
Additionally, the team is also developing a deep learning (DL) model to predict traffic demand from traffic observations (e.g. flow measurements from loop detectors) and offline estimated demand matrices for the network of interest.
Aimsun is also supporting the SYNCHROMODE partners by developing transport simulation models to virtually assess traffic management strategies and by integrating optimisation-based modules into simulation tools.
The proposed approaches will be demonstrated and validated through three Case Studies (CS) in Madrid (Spain), South Holland region (The Netherlands) and Thessaloniki (Greece).
Case Study 1: Madrid (Spain)
Leveraging the excess capacity of Public Transport (PT) during off-peak hours for last-mile delivery, this CS aims to integrate urban last-mile delivery using Demand-Responsive Transport (DRT) with PT services. The SYNCHROMODE toolbox will assist users in predicting and estimating PT and parcel delivery demand, optimizing parcel placement within buses, enhancing bus and DRT services for both passengers and parcels.
Aimsun will contribute to this CS by simulating the optimised and combined DRT-Bus routes in the Aimsun Ride simulation platform for on-demand services. The team has also been working on improving the multimodal PT trip routing and simulation in Aimsun Ride, which involves the computation of an optimal sequence of mode-specific trips with alternative transport modes (e.g., walk, car, bike, scooter, etc.) to access and egrees PT (bus, rail, metro, tram, etc.).
Case Study 2: South Holland (The Netherlands)
The Province of South Holland is facing major mobility challenges due to the increasing number of visitors during warm and sunny days. Roads accessing the Keukenhof flower park and the coastline of the province are experiencing congestion and delays. Additionally, major large-scale infrastructure roadworks are planned for the upcoming years, which might exacerbate the impacts on the road network.
Aimsun, in collaboration with the University of Deusto, University College London UCL and BeMobile, are developing a methodology to optimise (and prioritise) the sequence of multi-day roadworks considering simulation-based traffic-related indicators.